About
Jason is a social statistician and demographer, whose current research focuses on methods for the probabilistic forecasting of the components components of demographic change: mortality, fertility and migration. He works in the areas of population forecasting, applied Bayesian statistics and simulation. He has been involved in consultancy work for the Greater London Authority, the European Asylum Support Office, and the Office of National Statistics, amongst others.
Research
Research groups
Research interests
- Demographic Forecasting
- Bayesian Statistics
- Human Mortality
- Agent-based Modelling
- Modelling of Kinship
Current research
Jason's current research focuses on the probabilistic forecasting of demographic components, and on the modelling of kinship relationships.
Research projects
Active projects
Researchers:
Sponsor: ESRC
Completed projects
Researchers:
Researchers:
Sponsor: European Asylum Support Office
Sponsor: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation
Publications
24 publications
Page 1 of 3
Andrew Tatem, Maksym Bondarenko, Dorothea Woods, Tom McKeen, Duygu Cihan, Jason Hilton, Alexander Cunningham, Natalia Tejedor-Garavito, Rhorom Priyatikanto, Thomas Brinkhoff, Wenbin Zhang, Borys Nosatiuk, Elena Vataga, Nikos Tzavidis & Alessandro Sorichetta,
2026
Type: other
John Jairo Loja Torres, Jason Hilton & Sabu Padmadas,
2026, Demographic Research, 45, 1-40
Type: article
Joe Butterick, Jason Hilton, Jakub Bijak, Erengul Dodd & Peter W.F. Smith,
2026, Demographic Research, 54(9), 263-308
Type: article
Wen-Bin Zhang, Alessandro Sorichetta, Charlie Frye, Natalia Tejedor-Garavito, Weixuan Fang, Duygu Cihan, Dorothea Woods, Gregory Yetman, Jason Hilton, Andrew J. Tatem & Maksym Bondarenko,
2025, International Journal of Geographical Information Science
Type: article
Erengul Dodd, Jonathan J. Forster & Jason Hilton,
2025, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A: Statistics in Society
Type: letterEditorial
Joe W.B. Butterick, Peter W.F. Smith, Jakub Bijak & Jason Hilton,
2025, Theoretical Population Biology, 163, 1-12
Type: article
Jane Falkingham, Jason Hilton, Bernice Kuang & David McCollum,
2024
Type: report
Joe Barrass Butterick, Maria Evandrou, Jane Falkingham & Jason Hilton,
2024
Type: report
Pia Wilsdorf, Anja Wolpers, Jason Hilton, Fiete Haack & Adelinde M. Uhrmacher,
2022, ACM Transactions on Modeling and Computer Simulation
DOI: 10.1145/3564928
Type: article
Jakub Bijak, Philip Higham, Jason Hilton, Martin Hinsch, Sarah Nurse, Toby Prike, Oliver Reinhardt, Peter W.F. Smith, Adelinde M. Uhrmacher & Tom Warnke,
2021
Type: book
Teaching
Jason's teaches modules primarily in the areas of demographic methods and data science.